Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.276946 0.375396 0.484562 0.612393 0.756032 0.910776 1.088518
2025-06-15 0.146438 0.270829 0.427956 0.629575 0.872367 1.148146 1.478704
2025-06-22 0.078632 0.202299 0.378542 0.621181 0.927424 1.286869 1.728466
2025-06-29 0.035115 0.146436 0.330572 0.603068 0.962267 1.395976 1.939734
2025-07-06 0.019170 0.126979 0.327469 0.638701 1.059935 1.576928 2.232483
2025-07-13 0.010083 0.114495 0.331381 0.681561 1.165288 1.766283 2.534693
2025-07-20 0.004156 0.102432 0.332713 0.718688 1.261798 1.943860 2.822184
2025-07-27 0.002182 0.102043 0.353767 0.784350 1.396109 2.168630 3.167056
2025-08-03 0.000419 0.094605 0.359967 0.826806 1.498702 2.353344 3.463144
2025-08-10 NaN 0.077661 0.343955 0.833272 1.551116 2.473841 3.680173
2025-08-17 NaN 0.049546 0.295508 0.783940 1.523483 2.490160 3.767373
2025-08-24 NaN 0.027171 0.247657 0.729133 1.483948 2.488136 3.829375
2025-08-31 NaN 0.015068 0.219534 0.706553 1.492173 2.551941 3.979266
2025-09-07 NaN 0.010478 0.213466 0.722868 1.557699 2.692289 4.227156
2025-09-14 NaN 0.004985 0.195460 0.714444 1.584898 2.780560 4.408139
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001208 0.173261 0.694775 1.593486 2.842936 4.555565
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000885 0.179901 0.733169 1.691023 3.025386 4.856508
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000821 0.190168 0.779189 1.800502 3.224214 5.178685
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000611 0.197454 0.818994 1.900431 3.410219 5.484621
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001195 0.219180 0.889225 2.047761 3.660786 5.873604
2025-10-26 NaN 0.001090 0.228994 0.934540 2.156512 3.859103 6.195765
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000235 0.220678 0.941436 2.205458 3.976159 6.413726
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.186110 0.888787 2.159625 3.963010 6.463559